Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
25.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
PSG
0 - 0
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
GIR
2 - 0
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 1
TFC
56%
26%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2004 |
ASN
0 - 0
LIL
30%
29%
41%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PSG
1 - 0
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 2
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
LIL
2 - 3
ASS
61%
24%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |