Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1990 |
GIR
1 - 0
MET
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1990 |
MET
2 - 2
CAN
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
MON
1 - 0
MET
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
MET
1 - 1
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
LIL
2 - 1
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1990 |
CAE
2 - 0
LIL
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1990 |
LIL
2 - 2
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1990 |
SOC
1 - 0
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
LIL
2 - 1
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |