Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
SPO
1 - 0
MET
40%
29%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1987 |
MET
2 - 3
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
MON
2 - 1
MET
58%
25%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
MET
2 - 0
NIO
78%
15%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
PSG
0 - 2
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1987 |
RAC
3 - 0
LIL
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
LIL
1 - 2
ASS
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
BRE
2 - 2
LIL
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
LIL
0 - 0
STL
55%
25%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |