Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
TFC
2 - 0
MET
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1985 |
MET
0 - 0
STR
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
MON
0 - 0
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
MET
0 - 0
NAN
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
LIL
1 - 0
LEN
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
LIL
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
LIL
0 - 1
NAN
30%
29%
42%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
REN
2 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1985 |
LIL
2 - 1
SOC
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |