Metz vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
BAS
0 - 1
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
MET
1 - 1
GIR
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
NIC
4 - 2
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
MET
0 - 1
ANG
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
VAL
2 - 2
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
LIL
3 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1979 |
GIR
1 - 1
LIL
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
LIL
4 - 3
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
STR
3 - 2
LIL
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |