Metz vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
MET
1 - 4
LIL
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
MET
66%
23%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MET
0 - 4
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
MAR
24%
25%
50%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
PSG
3 - 1
MET
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 1
WSB
59%
23%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 0
TUB
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
NAN
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
LEN
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 1
MPL
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |