Metz vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MET
3 - 2
TFC
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
ASS
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
MET
65%
22%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 2
ETG
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 0
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GIR
2 - 1
LEN
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 4
MAR
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
TFC
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PSG
4 - 1
LEN
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |