Metz vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ASN
0 - 1
MET
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
CLE
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
NÎM
0 - 0
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
CAE
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
NIO
2 - 0
MET
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 2
TOU
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 3
LEN
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 1
LHA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
LYO
1 - 2
LEN
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 0
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |