Metz vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
LHA
2 - 1
MET
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1992 |
MET
3 - 0
NÎM
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1992 |
AUX
4 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1992 |
MET
0 - 0
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1992 |
LYO
1 - 1
MET
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1992 |
LEN
0 - 2
TFC
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1992 |
MPL
1 - 2
LEN
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1992 |
LEN
2 - 1
VAL
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1992 |
STR
4 - 1
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1992 |
LEN
0 - 3
CAE
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |