Metz vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
GIR
3 - 3
MET
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
MET
2 - 2
NIC
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
PSG
3 - 1
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
MET
2 - 0
NÎM
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
ANG
0 - 2
MET
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 1
NAN
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
ASS
3 - 0
LEN
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
STL
1 - 3
LEN
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
ASN
1 - 1
LEN
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |