Metz vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
MET
3 - 1
LYO
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
REI
3 - 2
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1976 |
MET
1 - 0
ASA
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 2
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
MET
4 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 0
REI
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
ASA
0 - 0
LEN
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1976 |
LEN
4 - 2
ASN
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
MON
1 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |