Metz vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
MET
2 - 0
LIL
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
MPL
1 - 2
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
MET
3 - 1
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
MET
0 - 0
CAN
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
REN
2 - 4
LHA
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
LHA
0 - 0
REN
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
LHA
1 - 0
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
LYO
3 - 2
LHA
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
LHA
2 - 0
STR
32%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +2 |