Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-7
Metz vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
REN
2 - 0
MET
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
MET
7 - 3
FCR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 1
MET
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1968 |
MET
2 - 0
VAL
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1968 |
RED
0 - 1
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
HSV
3 - 1
KOL
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
BVB
3 - 1
HSV
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
HSV
5 - 2
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
BYM
5 - 1
HSV
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
HSV
2 - 1
STU
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |