Metz vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MET
1 - 1
CRY
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SDL
1 - 1
MET
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
EUP
0 - 2
MET
54%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
MET
1 - 4
AUX
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 0
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 2
TOR
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
GUI
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 0
BRE
63%
21%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 2
GUI
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 1
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |