Metz vs FC Martigues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
10º
2º
3
9º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 52 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 48 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 45 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 35 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
|
17º
|
3 | 35 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 33 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
44.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
33% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
LOR
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 2
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
STL
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 3
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Martigues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 4
GRE
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 0
FCM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ANN
2 - 4
FCM
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |