Europa League 1/32
Global 3-3
Metz vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
LOR
1 - 1
MET
30%
29%
41%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
MET
0 - 0
TFC
68%
21%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
CRV
2 - 1
MET
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1998 |
STR
0 - 0
MET
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
MET
0 - 2
GIR
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
CRV
2 - 0
HAJ
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRV
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
CRV
2 - 1
MET
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
CRV
2 - 1
ZRE
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
VOJ
1 - 2
CRV
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |