Metz vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GIR
3 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MET
0 - 3
LYO
17%
22%
61%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MET
2 - 2
SDL
29%
25%
47%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 2
MET
60%
25%
15%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 2
MPL
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAE
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 3
MON
12%
19%
70%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 2
CAE
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 3
ANG
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |