Metz vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AUX
0 - 0
MET
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
LOR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
NIO
0 - 3
MET
21%
27%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
MET
1 - 1
SOC
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
LHA
2 - 2
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 0
LEN
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
AJA
1 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
PFC
43%
28%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 0
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 2
BRE
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |