Metz vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
ETG
32%
27%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 0
MET
46%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
LEN
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
MET
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
MET
1 - 0
AMI
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GAR
0 - 1
BAS
5%
17%
78%
|
70 | 28 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 1
SOC
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 2
LYO
17%
23%
61%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
4 - 1
TOU
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 3
VEN
88%
10%
2%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | -1 |