Metz vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
TFC
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
MET
2 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
REN
3 - 1
MET
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
MET
1 - 1
MON
21%
27%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MET
0 - 0
SOC
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
REN
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
MET
2 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
SOC
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 1
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 2
PSG
33%
29%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |