Metz vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
MET
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MET
1 - 2
LEN
31%
29%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
TFC
0 - 0
MET
55%
26%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 2
MET
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MET
0 - 0
ASN
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AUX
3 - 0
LMU
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SOC
1 - 1
AUX
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
AUX
0 - 1
LIL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
AUX
6 - 2
NIC
56%
26%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ASS
0 - 0
AUX
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |