Metz vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
GIR
1 - 0
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MET
0 - 1
MAR
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 0
MET
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
MET
1 - 0
AJA
57%
25%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
ROD
1 - 2
MET
18%
25%
58%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
AUX
4 - 1
BAS
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 2
AUX
27%
29%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2005 |
AUX
1 - 1
CAE
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
AUX
2 - 0
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
REN
1 - 0
AUX
40%
27%
32%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |