Metz vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
LIL
2 - 0
MET
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
GIR
1 - 0
MET
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
MET
0 - 2
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
MET
2 - 0
LYO
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
AUX
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NAN
2 - 2
AUX
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
AUX
1 - 3
TRO
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
LEN
1 - 1
AUX
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
AUX
2 - 2
GUI
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |