Metz vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
LYO
1 - 0
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
CAN
1 - 0
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1994 |
MET
1 - 2
BAS
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1994 |
MON
0 - 1
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1994 |
MET
2 - 1
CAE
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
AUX
2 - 1
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
MON
0 - 0
AUX
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1994 |
AUX
1 - 2
NAN
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1994 |
STR
1 - 1
AUX
34%
28%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1994 |
AUX
2 - 1
STR
69%
18%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |