Metz vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
LHA
0 - 0
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1991 |
MET
1 - 3
MPL
52%
27%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
NAN
4 - 1
MET
43%
29%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
MET
1 - 0
ASS
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
ASN
1 - 3
MET
38%
28%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
AUX
1 - 0
LEN
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
ASS
1 - 1
AUX
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
AUX
3 - 0
TFC
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
SOC
1 - 0
AUX
32%
30%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1991 |
AUX
0 - 0
NÎM
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |