Metz vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
31.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
MET
0 - 0
PSG
49%
28%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1992 |
AUX
3 - 0
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1992 |
MET
1 - 1
LHA
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
MPL
1 - 0
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
MET
1 - 1
NAN
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1992 |
AUX
2 - 2
NAN
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1992 |
AUX
3 - 0
MET
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1992 |
LEN
0 - 0
AUX
25%
29%
46%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
AUX
2 - 0
ASS
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
TFC
2 - 3
AUX
31%
30%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |