Metz vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
PSG
1 - 1
MET
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
MET
4 - 1
STR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
ANG
0 - 0
MET
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1980 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1980 |
ASN
2 - 0
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
AUX
0 - 2
ASS
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
VAL
2 - 0
AUX
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 3
AUX
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1980 |
AUX
0 - 1
PSG
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1980 |
STR
1 - 0
AUX
65%
18%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |