Metz vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
CLE
2 - 0
MET
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
SED
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
STR
1 - 1
MET
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
MET
0 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
GUI
2 - 1
MET
32%
29%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
ARL
1 - 1
GUI
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
LHA
1 - 2
ARL
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
ARL
2 - 0
NÎM
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
DIJ
1 - 1
ARL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
ARL
2 - 0
STL
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |