Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-5
Metz vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
ASS
0 - 1
MET
41%
29%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
MET
1 - 2
MPL
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
SOC
1 - 0
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1988 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
TFC
2 - 1
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
KVK
2 - 0
AND
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
AND
2 - 0
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
BEE
1 - 4
AND
18%
25%
57%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
AND
6 - 3
RAC
91%
6%
2%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1988 |
MOL
0 - 2
AND
15%
25%
61%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |