Metz vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
REN
2 - 1
MET
68%
19%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
SED
1 - 0
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
MET
0 - 4
LYO
17%
26%
57%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MON
3 - 0
MET
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
MET
0 - 1
GIR
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
MON
3 - 0
AJA
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 2
GRE
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
REN
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
LYO
3 - 2
AJA
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GIR
1 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |