Metz vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2003 |
MET
4 - 0
FCG
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
AMI
1 - 0
MET
24%
28%
48%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
MET
1 - 0
GRE
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
CAE
1 - 0
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MET
2 - 1
STL
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
STR
34%
28%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
LIL
2 - 0
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIC
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
LHA
0 - 1
AJA
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 6
GIR
19%
26%
55%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |