Metz U19 vs Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
5º
4º
24
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
AUX
2 - 1
MET
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
MET
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 3
TRO
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LEP
1 - 0
MET
9%
16%
75%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
NAN
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bourg-en-Bresse Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
BBP
4 - 2
TOR
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LEP
2 - 1
BBP
28%
21%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BBP
2 - 1
STR
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 0
BBP
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BBP
0 - 1
BOB
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |