Metz II vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MET
9 - 0
JUR
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 0
MET
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
RAO
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 2
MET
41%
27%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
FCM
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NAN
0 - 0
VAL
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
YZE
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
OLY
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MOA
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |