Metz II vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
15º
15º
39
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 0
MET
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
COL
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
BRC
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 1
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
FUR
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
USB
1 - 2
REI
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
USB
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
USB
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
USB
0 - 1
BRC
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 3
USB
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |