Metz II vs Thaon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 0
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AMN
0 - 5
MET
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
BIE
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
ASB
24%
25%
52%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AUB
1 - 0
MET
59%
23%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AMN
0 - 0
THA
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
THA
0 - 4
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NAN
2 - 1
THA
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 2
THA
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
THA
1 - 0
STP
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |