Metz II vs Strasbourg Koenigshoffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
1º
4º
2º
4
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
4 | 53 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
5 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 40 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 39 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 37 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 36 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 35 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 29 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
14º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 66.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PON
1 - 2
MET
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MET
4 - 0
REI
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
TRO
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
THL
1 - 0
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
JUR
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
THL
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
OBE
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 1
STR
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 2
OBE
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |