Metz II vs Prix lès Mézières analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
13º
6º
33
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THA
2 - 1
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
SAR
57%
20%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
MET
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
OBE
75%
15%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
THL
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Prix lès Mézières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 1
MEZ
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
REI
1 - 0
MEZ
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
MEZ
55%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
MEZ
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MEZ
0 - 2
STR
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |