Metz II vs Pagny Sur Moselle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
AMN
0 - 0
MET
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MET
2 - 1
SAR
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 0
MET
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
STR
0 - 0
MET
45%
24%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MET
1 - 0
MEZ
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 3
STR
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
MEZ
0 - 0
PAG
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FCM
2 - 0
PAG
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
AMN
1 - 0
PAG
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PAG
1 - 1
SAR
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |