Metz II vs Pagny Sur Moselle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BIE
3 - 3
MET
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MET
2 - 1
ILL
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STR
1 - 2
MET
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MET
2 - 1
RCE
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MET
5 - 1
FOR
82%
13%
6%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Pagny Sur Moselle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
FCS
26%
23%
51%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
EBE
1 - 2
PAG
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
RAO
3 - 0
PAG
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 1
NAN
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 0
PAG
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |