Metz II vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 1
MET
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MET
3 - 3
LUN
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BIE
2 - 0
MET
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SCH
5 - 2
MET
33%
25%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
REI
44%
24%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAR
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 2
FOR
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 2
FOR
47%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
RAO
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +4 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BIE
1 - 0
FOR
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |