Metz II vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
MET
33%
26%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
ROY
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
MET
21%
27%
53%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ASB
2 - 1
MET
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
AAC
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 1
COM
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
COM
0 - 3
AMN
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 3
COM
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
COM
0 - 3
AUB
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |