Metz II vs Avion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
MET
38%
31%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
CAB
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 3
MET
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MET
1 - 0
COM
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SEN
2 - 1
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
NOI
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
AVI
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AVI
2 - 1
AUB
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CAB
3 - 0
AVI
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AVI
2 - 1
POI
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |