MetroStars vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
6º
1º
15
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 6
NEM
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEM
3 - 2
CAM
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 2
WHI
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 0
ADE
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ADE
0 - 0
NEM
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAD
3 - 2
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SLF
1 - 0
WAD
35%
21%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WAD
2 - 0
ADO
40%
24%
37%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 0
WAD
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
ADE
3 - 2
WAD
44%
23%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |