MetroStars vs South Adelaide Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEM
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NEM
5 - 3
SLF
86%
9%
4%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
ADO
3 - 0
NEM
14%
17%
69%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -3 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
NEM
5 - 2
WAD
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
2 - 1
NEM
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
SAP
1 - 4
WAD
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
SAP
1 - 1
18%
19%
64%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
WES
0 - 1
SAP
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SAP
4 - 4
CAM
9%
15%
77%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SAP
0 - 1
PAR
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |