MetroStars vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
1º
38
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 40.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 0
NEM
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NEM
4 - 3
ADE
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 3
NEM
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 2
MCI
6%
13%
82%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NEM
0 - 3
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 2
CRO
38%
23%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 5
MOD
74%
15%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 3
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 2
ADE
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 7
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |