MetroStars vs Adelaide Raiders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 4
NEM
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ADE
3 - 0
NEM
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NEM
2 - 0
WAD
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 2
NEM
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
GAW
0 - 6
NEM
15%
19%
67%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
ADE
3 - 3
SAP
38%
22%
39%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ADE
0 - 1
WES
21%
23%
57%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ADE
4 - 1
ADE
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ADE
2 - 0
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
4 - 1
ADE
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |