MetroStars vs Adelaide Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
1º
24
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NEM
0 - 0
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 3
NEM
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NEM
5 - 1
ADE
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 1
NEM
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NEM
3 - 3
CAM
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADO
4 - 1
CRO
35%
23%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADO
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 4
MOD
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
3 - 2
ADO
79%
15%
7%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 1
ADE
26%
21%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |