MetroStars vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
6º
1º
31
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
1 - 2
NEM
20%
20%
59%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NEM
5 - 1
SAP
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
WAD
2 - 3
NEM
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 2
CRO
81%
13%
6%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
NEM
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 2
ADE
10%
15%
76%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ADE
5 - 1
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
1 - 3
ADE
40%
23%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |