MetroStars vs Adelaide Blue Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
2 - 2
NEM
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NEM
1 - 2
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ADE
0 - 1
NEM
18%
22%
61%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NEM
2 - 3
ADE
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
NEM
0 - 1
OAK
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Adelaide Blue Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ADE
6 - 3
SAP
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WES
2 - 2
ADE
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
ADE
4 - 0
ADO
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
2 - 0
ADE
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 1
ADE
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |