Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
MET
1 - 0
ZAM
12%
19%
69%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ZUL
5 - 0
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MET
0 - 3
TAC
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MET
0 - 2
ARA
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 2
ANZ
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 0
ESC
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
APC
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
ESC
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
ESC
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |